Polytrading
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See Polymarket as it is.

Check any wallet. Follow rewards, whales and order books. Read what the data says — not what a signal seller promises.

4,703,625 trades indexed987 wallets checkedupdated 2 min ago
0xf4f8…5bf1accumulatorlive card
96
PolyScore 96 · high confidence
14,156 resolved · top 25% of 571
P&L 7d+$6,612
P&L 30d−$2,697
All time+$30.5k
The market as it is

Most wallets lose. We publish the numbers.

38%of active wallets are in profit
−$10median lifetime P&L
78%of all profit goes to the top 1%
Sample: 5,900 of 45,107 active wallets, Oct 2026 → read the method
Wallet check

Skill or luck, maker or taker, one hot streak or a system.

96
PolyScore · high confidence
confidence
P&L · 7 days+$6,612
P&L · 30 days−$2,697
P&L · all time+$30.5k
Archetype
market makeraccumulatorlotterywhaletraderbot
Rank
top 1%571 indexed
  1. PolyScore with confidence. Five axes, 0–100. Confidence drops with small samples; under 20 resolved positions the score is withheld.
  2. Exchange truth. P&L for 7 / 30 days / all time, realized + unrealized, straight from the exchange API. Not a screenshot.
  3. Archetype and bot flag: market maker · accumulator · lottery · whale · trader · insufficient data, measured on the public trade tape.
  4. Rank among indexed wallets by all-time P&L, plus profit concentration: one lucky market or many. Open positions when signed in.
News · Research

What happened on Polymarket today, and research with data and method.

All news →
First notes are being writtenDaily news and the first five research write-ups land here. RSS
Guides

How each Polymarket bot actually works — and what it costs

All 7 guides →
guide

Liquidity rewards maker

rewards ≈ fill tax: 37 of 41 farmers lose on trades
guide

Copy-trader

+0.8% at 1 min, −15.8% at 30 min
guide

Full-set arbitrage

ΣYES < 1 only on incomplete events; 0.4–0.6c after fees
guide

Short-market late buyer

no edge proven; oracle vs proxy differ in 8% of windows
guide

Tail lottery

where tails are buyable, EV −11…−15%
guide

Weather model

market calibrated as well as ECMWF/GFS on 1,977 events
guide

Sports vs bookmaker lines

1–2 point gap on 314 matches; ≥10 never
Tools in early access

14 bots, 4 Claude Code skills, 4 integrations. Not for sale yet.

Request early access

Bots14

  • Position Guard— watches any open position and exits by rules, not panic
  • Whale Tracker— alerts on large trades by market or address
  • Rewards Maker— quotes near mid on boosted pools, sizes by pool per maker
  • Book Health Monitor— flags empty books and spread spikes on your markets
  • Resolution Watch— tracks disputes and UMA votes on your positions
  • + 9 more →

Claude Code skills4

  • Polymarket API Context— CLOB, Gamma, data API, neg-risk, fees
  • Wallet Analyst— pulls a wallet’s trades and explains the P&L
  • Market Scanner— lists markets by rewards, spread and depth
  • Backtest Harness— replays CLOB fills with fees and latency

Integrations4

  • Telegram alerts— whales, boosts, resolutions to a chat
  • Google Sheets— live wallet and market tables
  • Webhooks— JSON on every event you follow
  • MCP server— polytrading data inside any MCP client
How we count

PolyScore is five weighted axes. Here is what goes in, and what we refuse to do.

PolyScore = win rate (25) + ROI (30) + drawdown (20)
        + diversification (15) + consistency (10)
each axis needs its minimum sample, else it scores 0
confidence caps the total: insufficient 25 · low 45 · medium 75
score withheld below 20 resolved positions · recomputed hourly
no signalsWe don’t tell you what to buy. We show what a wallet did.
no keysWe never hold wallet keys or API keys. Nothing here trades on your behalf.
no promiseNo return estimates, no “expected profit”. Past P&L is a record, not a forecast.
Pricing

Free now. Pro in early access.

Full pricing →

Free $0

Wallet checks with a daily limit, news, research, guides, leaderboard.

Pro Early access

Unlimited checks, watchlists, live market view, Telegram alerts. Pay in USDC on Polygon. Prepaid, no auto-charge.

Request early access